Asset-level trend state

VAMS

Confirmed VAMS readings for the portfolio assets plus selected public equities. These are asset-level trend states, not allocation recommendations.

Snapshot

GeneratedJul 7, 2026, 6:10 AM CDT

Assets14

Sourcekiss-status.json

VT

Total World Stock ETF

Bullish

z-score

0.37 Bullish

Trend votes

5/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

157.81 vs 154.87

Bullish

Price > 200dma

157.81 vs 145.11

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

154.87 vs 145.11

Bullish

3m return > 0

13.2%

Bullish

50dma rising

154.87 vs 153.36 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (157.81 vs 145.11; cushion about 8.0%); 3m return turns negative (13.2%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (154.87 vs 153.36 10d ago; cushion about 1.0%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

GLDM

SPDR Gold MiniShares

Bearish

z-score

-1.86 Bearish

Trend votes

0/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

82.39 vs 87.37

Bearish

Price > 200dma

82.39 vs 88.32

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

87.37 vs 88.32

Bearish

3m return > 0

-10.9%

Bearish

50dma rising

87.37 vs 90.16 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (82.39 vs 88.32; needs about 7.2%); 3m return turns positive (-10.9%); 50dma moves above the 200dma (87.37 vs 88.32; gap about 1.1%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (87.37 vs 90.16 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BTC

Bitcoin

Bearish

z-score

-1.61 Bearish

Trend votes

0/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

63,130.29 vs 66,208.28

Bearish

Price > 200dma

63,130.29 vs 74,481.36

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

66,208.28 vs 74,481.36

Bearish

3m return > 0

-22.0%

Bearish

50dma rising

66,208.28 vs 69,826.16 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (63,130.29 vs 74,481.36; needs about 18.0%); 3m return turns positive (-22.0%); Price moves above the 50dma (63,130.29 vs 66,208.28; needs about 4.9%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (66,208.28 vs 69,826.16 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

AGG

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Bearish

z-score

-0.52 Bearish

Trend votes

0/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

98.66 vs 98.77

Bearish

Price > 200dma

98.66 vs 99.79

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

98.77 vs 99.79

Bearish

3m return > 0

-0.6%

Bearish

50dma rising

98.77 vs 98.90 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (98.66 vs 99.79; needs about 1.1%); 3m return turns positive (-0.6%); Price moves above the 50dma (98.66 vs 98.77; needs about 0.1%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (98.77 vs 98.90 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

Bearish

z-score

0.00 Neutral

Trend votes

0/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

85.45 vs 85.59

Bearish

Price > 200dma

85.45 vs 87.79

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

85.59 vs 87.79

Bearish

3m return > 0

-1.5%

Bearish

50dma rising

85.59 vs 85.65 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: trend breakdown

Price is below the 200dma, 3m return is negative, and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (85.45 vs 87.79; needs about 2.7%); 3m return turns positive (-1.5%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (85.59 vs 85.65 10d ago); Price moves above the 50dma (85.45 vs 85.59; needs about 0.2%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway

Bullish

z-score

-0.21 Neutral

Trend votes

4/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

506.58 vs 483.56

Bullish

Price > 200dma

506.58 vs 490.33

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

483.56 vs 490.33

Bearish

3m return > 0

6.1%

Bullish

50dma rising

483.56 vs 479.15 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (506.58 vs 490.33; cushion about 3.2%); 3m return turns negative (6.1%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

AMZN

Amazon

Neutral

z-score

-0.34 Bearish

Trend votes

3/5 Neutral

Price > 50dma

244.16 vs 255.19

Bearish

Price > 200dma

244.16 vs 233.03

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

255.19 vs 233.03

Bullish

3m return > 0

16.4%

Bullish

50dma rising

255.19 vs 257.10 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Neutral: no bullish or bearish rule triggered

Neither bullish rule nor bearish rule has enough confirmation, so VAMS remains neutral.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (255.19 vs 257.10 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

Price falls below the 200dma (244.16 vs 233.03; cushion about 4.6%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

AAPL

Apple

Bullish

z-score

0.68 Bullish

Trend votes

5/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

312.66 vs 294.31

Bullish

Price > 200dma

312.66 vs 271.06

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

294.31 vs 271.06

Bullish

3m return > 0

22.2%

Bullish

50dma rising

294.31 vs 288.74 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (312.66 vs 271.06; cushion about 13.3%); 3m return turns negative (22.2%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (294.31 vs 288.74 10d ago; cushion about 1.9%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

TSLA

Tesla

Bullish

z-score

-0.04 Neutral

Trend votes

4/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

419.77 vs 407.07

Bullish

Price > 200dma

419.77 vs 418.60

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

407.07 vs 418.60

Bearish

3m return > 0

16.4%

Bullish

50dma rising

407.07 vs 402.49 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (419.77 vs 418.60; cushion about 0.3%); 3m return turns negative (16.4%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

MSFT

Microsoft

Bearish

z-score

-1.27 Bearish

Trend votes

1/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

386.74 vs 406.67

Bearish

Price > 200dma

386.74 vs 444.82

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

406.67 vs 444.82

Bearish

3m return > 0

3.6%

Bullish

50dma rising

406.67 vs 412.98 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: z-score + weak trend breadth

z < -0.25 and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (386.74 vs 444.82; needs about 15.0%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (406.67 vs 412.98 10d ago); Price moves above the 50dma (386.74 vs 406.67; needs about 5.2%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

NVDA

NVIDIA

Bullish

z-score

-1.12 Bearish

Trend votes

4/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

195.55 vs 209.66

Bearish

Price > 200dma

195.55 vs 191.13

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

209.66 vs 191.13

Bullish

3m return > 0

10.2%

Bullish

50dma rising

209.66 vs 209.31 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (209.66 vs 209.31 10d ago; cushion about 0.2%); Price falls below the 200dma (195.55 vs 191.13; cushion about 2.3%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

GOOG

Alphabet

Bullish

z-score

0.29 Bullish

Trend votes

4/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

364.90 vs 368.79

Bearish

Price > 200dma

364.90 vs 316.13

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

368.79 vs 316.13

Bullish

3m return > 0

23.9%

Bullish

50dma rising

368.79 vs 364.62 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (364.90 vs 316.13; cushion about 13.4%); 3m return turns negative (23.9%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase

Bullish

z-score

-0.24 Neutral

Trend votes

5/5 Bullish

Price > 50dma

337.72 vs 313.11

Bullish

Price > 200dma

337.72 vs 308.63

Bullish

50dma > 200dma

313.11 vs 308.63

Bullish

3m return > 0

14.6%

Bullish

50dma rising

313.11 vs 308.86 10d ago

Bullish

Triggered rule

Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger

Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (337.72 vs 308.63; cushion about 8.6%); 3m return turns negative (14.6%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (313.11 vs 308.86 10d ago; cushion about 1.4%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

LMT

Lockheed Martin

Bearish

z-score

-0.16 Neutral

Trend votes

1/5 Bearish

Price > 50dma

538.00 vs 520.03

Bullish

Price > 200dma

538.00 vs 540.83

Bearish

50dma > 200dma

520.03 vs 540.83

Bearish

3m return > 0

-13.6%

Bearish

50dma rising

520.03 vs 537.43 10d ago

Bearish

Triggered rule

Bearish: trend breakdown

Price is below the 200dma, 3m return is negative, and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bullish Trigger

Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (538.00 vs 540.83; needs about 0.5%); 3m return turns positive (-13.6%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (520.03 vs 537.43 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.